Category: Polls
New Polls out, The Obamassiah is recovering….
Short results:
Obama 49% Clinton 45%
Obama 51% McCain 40%
Some are not buying it, others are. Either way, it’s going to be an interesting race. Tuesday’s Primary will be quite interesting too.
Stay Tuned.
Seems that the Rev Wright Scandal did some damage…
That is according to the latest polls.
The Charts:
and….
Quote:
John McCain has moved to a six percentage point, 48% to 42%, lead over Barack Obama in Gallup Poll Daily tracking of the general election, while he edges out Hillary Clinton by only one point, 46% to 45%.
This is according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from April 27-May 1 with 4,381 national registered voters.
The ongoing turmoil in the Democratic race — with neither candidate able to sustain a winning streak in the primaries and animosity seemingly mounting between them — seems to be benefiting McCain and hurting both Democrats. Last week McCain had fallen three points behind Clinton in the preferences of registered voters for the general election, and only tied Obama.
Although both Clinton and Obama have lost ground to McCain over the past week, the current results may be particularly troubling for Obama in trying to combat Clinton’s assertion to superdelegates that she would be the more electable of the two candidates in November.
The current six-point margin for McCain over Obama is the largest lead McCain has had over either candidate since Gallup began tracking general election preferences in early March. The gap between Obama and Clinton’s percentage of the vote when both are pitted against McCain is also the largest since the general election tracking began.
If Obama Looses NC and IN. I predict that, He’ll be done, and Hillary will most likely get the nomination. If Obama Looses one and wins the other, there will be a super-delegate fight, come the convention. If he wins both, I predict Hillary will drop out.
If these polls are right, If Obama wins the nomination, the Democrats will lose the election, come November, because as of now, people are losing faith in Obama, because of all the sideshows. You know them, I don’t have to name them, it is taking it’s toll on Obama.
Either way, it’s going to be one interesting show from now to November.
Obama slips in Polls
The Republican Party might not have to worry about B. Hussein Obama after all.
He’s Slipping in the polls. Big time!
New Poll in Pennsylvania has Clinton in the lead
According to a MSNBC/McClatchy/Pittsburgh Post-Gazette poll.
Personally, I think people, at this point are just sick of it all and want it all to be over with. I know, that I am.
Latest Gallop Poll – Clinton 46% Obama 45%
Quote:
Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows that Hillary Clinton now receives 46% of the support of Democrats nationally, compared to 45% for Barack Obama, marking the first time Obama has not led in Gallup’s daily tracking since March 18-20.
These results are based on interviewing conducted April 16-18, including two days of interviewing after the contentious Wednesday night debate in Philadelphia and the media focus that followed. Support for Hillary Clinton has been significantly higher in both of these post-debate nights of interviewing than in recent weeks. The two Democratic candidates are now engaged in intensive campaigning leading up to Tuesday’s Pennsylvania primary and are under a continual and hot media spotlight, increasing the chances for change in the views of Democrats in the days ahead.
Not that this really matters, because Obama’s ahead in the delegates and unless there’s a major shift with those people, I doubt Hillary will be able to pass Obama. It’s just interesting to see the sudden change in the percentage of people who supported Obama and now don’t.
Here’s how Obama does when match up with McCain:
Others: Marc Ambinder, Donklephant and Wizbang Blue
Does all of America want a National Healthcare Program?
Wow. Big Surprise there. (not!)
Like me, most people know that our incompetent Government can’t even get a Border Fence up, you think they could provide a quality and the key word here is QUALITY healthcare system? Don’t make me laugh.
Other Opinions via Memeorandum
McCain closes Obama’s lead in a poll…..that includes "leaners"….
An interesting poll, taken by the Associated Press-Ipsos shows that McCain is basically tied with Obama.
Quote:
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain’s 45 percent. Factoring in the poll’s margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
However, here’s the thing that kind of makes this poll a joke:
Although the race between Clinton and Obama remained unchanged, there were a few shifts in whom voters are choosing:
• The gender gap has mostly disappeared, with Clinton losing her advantage among women. In February, 51 percent of Democratic women supported Clinton while 38 percent were for Obama. Now they’re statistically tied at 44 percent for Clinton, 42 percent for Obama. That is partially offset by a decline in male support for Obama, down 7 points to 50 percent, while Clinton gained 10 points among men. She is now at 42 percent.
• Obama and Clinton are now statistically about even among households earning under $50,000. In late February, Clinton led 54 percent to 37 percent, but now it is just 48 percent to 41 percent.
• Obama now leads Clinton among self-described moderate Democrats, 51 percent to 35 percent. Previously they were 45 percent Clinton, 40 percent Obama.
The poll questioned 1,005 adults nationally. Included were interviews with 489 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points; and 369 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 points.
I mean, how fixed can a poll be? If that wasn’t a bad poll, I don’t know what is.
Leaning?!?!?! That could mean anything, how do we know those people weren’t lying?
I really do not think that this will really matter, the general public and those paying attention, know the John McCain is going to be equated with Bush and his Policies and people will not vote for him. Obama will win, I think, I would be wrong. But I highly doubt people will vote for him.
Others: MSNBC, Wake up America, TalkLeft and PoliGazette (via Memeorandum)
Obama up the polls, Clinton Trailing at 43%
Obama 51%, Clinton 43% So says Gallup Poll.
Reactions via Memeorandum
It is official Dick Cheney is an Asshole
This comes via Think Progress:
Transcript:
CHENEY: On the security front, I think there’s a general consensus that we’ve made major progress, that the surge has worked. That’s been a major success.
RADDATZ: Two-third of Americans say it’s not worth fighting.
CHENEY: So?
RADDATZ So? You don’t care what the American people think?
CHENEY: No. I think you cannot be blown off course by the fluctuations in the public opinion polls.
Man, not only is he an asshole, he’s a delusional asshole as well.
Of course, when you’re the second lackey to a President who’s approval rating is 19% and has a bunker mentality of it’s us against the world, what do you expect?
Others: CNN, Reuters, Washington Times, Firedoglake, World-O-Crap, Hullabaloo and Dependable Renegade
Obama’s lead shrinks, McCain Does quite nicely….
Believe it or not, this is not a big surprise
Story: Obama’s lead over Clinton narrows: Reuters poll (Via Reuters)
Quote:
Democrat Barack Obama’s big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.
The poll showed Obama had only a statistically insignificant lead of 47 percent to 44 percent over Clinton, down sharply from a 14 point edge he held over her in February when he was riding the tide of 10 straight victories.
Illinois Sen. Obama, who would be America’s first black president, has been buffeted by attacks in recent weeks from New York Sen. Clinton over his fitness to serve as commander-in-chief and by a tempest over racially charged sermons given by his Chicago preacher.
The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.
McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.
One thing to note here, this is a short term loss, I highly doubt that this little flare up is going to cost Obama the Nomination, the next Primary vote is like 5 weeks away in PA. So, I highly doubt that Obama will sustain any lasting damage. Once this Rev. Wright story finally leaves the News cycle, his numbers will return to normal.
McCain on the other seems to be benefiting from this dust up, the cameras and the attention is off of him for the time being. I can imagine he is quite happy about this. Many people are predicting that many independents will flock to McCain because they see Obama is too extremist.
Well, Sorry, I disagree, Any person who has looked at how Bush has totally screwed this country up, over the last 6 years. How Bush turned the 9/11 attacks as a excuse to invade a country that had NOTHING to do with the attacks at all. How much Bush and his Administration totally mangled the handling of the war, I highly doubt that these people are going to flock to McCain. Because too many people see McCain as a continuation of Bush.
Quite frankly, and I address this to MSM, I do not think that the Independents, like me, are quite that stupid. I know that I, and many others that I know, are not.
Others: Talking Points Memo, Hot Air, The Washington Independent, Political Machine, Wake up America, Macsmind, QandO, Outside The Beltway and Roger L. Simon — More via memeorandum
From the "say what?" Dept.
Poll: Most Americans don’t read political blogs (via Reuters)
A majority of Americans do not read political blogs, the online commentaries that have proliferated in the race for the U.S. presidency, according to a poll released on Monday.
Only 22 percent of people responding to the poll said they read blogs regularly, meaning several times a month or more, according to the survey conducted by Harris Interactive.
Political blogs, in which writers, pundits and other participants voice opinions in online forums, burst into the spotlight in the 2004 and 2008 presidential campaigns. Some of the most high-profile blogs are influential on campaign strategies, media coverage and public perception of the candidates and issues.
Unlike traditional, mainstream media, blogs often adopt a specific point of view. Critics complain they can contain unchecked facts, are poorly edited and use unreliable sources.
You don’t think them old, dead wood, media types don’t like us, do you?
Can you say, Biased? I knew you could!
You say, "Why would you say this?"
Well, it’s like this here, We’re a threat to their sacred little profession. Most of the time, they get their information from us.
We report the stuff that they can’t or won’t, due to fearing losing those ever coveted sponsors.
I know their strategy, "we’ll tell everyone, that no body reads them political blogs, and the everyone will stop writing." HA! Little late for all that guys. The Genie is out of the bottle now. They should have do this story, in….maybe, 2003?
Morons.
Others on this: HotAir