I am referring to the poll which came out yesterday that gave Republicans a big lead.
Here are the charts:
Story Snippet:
The last Gallup weekly generic ballot average before Labor Day underscores the fast-evolving conventional wisdom that the GOP is poised to make significant gains in this fall’s midterm congressional elections. Gallup’s generic ballot has historically proven an excellent predictor of the national vote for Congress, and the national vote in turn is an excellent predictor of House seats won and lost. Republicans’ presumed turnout advantage, combined with their current 10-point registered-voter lead, suggests the potential for a major “wave” election in which the Republicans gain a large number of seats from the Democrats and in the process take back control of the House. One cautionary note: Democrats moved ahead in Gallup’s generic ballot for several weeks earlier this summer, showing that change is possible between now and Election Day.
Here is why I do not put much stock into these polls. Because one week, these polls will show that the Republicans are on top; and the Republicans will say to the Democrats, “Ha Ha! We’re on top!” and the next week the reverse will happen. It goes on and on and on. President George W. Bush, much to his credit, did not pay attention to these polls. The same seems to be the case with President Barack Obama, which some might argue, shows that he is not concerned with what the American people think and that is never a good narrative to have running, when you are in your first term. Again, however, I as a political blogger, just do not put much stock in the polls; mainly because polls are just a fashion show, if you will, of what people happen to be thinking at the time.
However, because I am supposed to be someone who does lean to the right. I believe it is fair for me to point out that the reason why the Democrats and Barack Obama’s poll numbers are tanking is because President Barack Obama made all sorts of crazy promises during his campaign and then, the minute he was elected, he reneged on those promises. Also it would be fair to report that the Democrats rammed through the Healthcare Bill, which no one wanted at all — including some Democrats. It is also fair to point out that President Obama’s plan for a Economic Stimulus failed horribly and our economy is still in the toilet.
However, it is fair to point out, that things could drastically change by November. I highly doubt it, but it is possible. Heck, anything is possible in this day and age.
In Closing: While those polls are neat to look at and all. I would not wager the house on them. Because, like the stock market. They change daily.
Others: Outside the Beltway, Hot Air, National Review, The Sundries Shack, Top of the Ticket, Questions and Observations, NewsBusters.org, Power Line, Doug Ross, Weekly Standard